Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 4.011046 4.294554 4.602312 4.963882 5.380599 5.850319 6.426474
2025-02-23 3.551849 3.916660 4.335579 4.860590 5.513767 6.318627 7.418799
2025-03-02 3.146009 3.540613 4.012146 4.632152 5.451317 6.539297 8.181950
2025-03-09 2.879900 3.299328 3.818578 4.532297 5.531903 6.966322 9.388419
2025-03-16 2.620109 3.039877 3.572973 4.330333 5.440186 7.137313 10.304876
2025-03-23 2.474034 2.910959 3.482006 4.324950 5.629565 7.793279 12.442701
2025-03-30 2.331562 2.774084 3.365971 4.267852 5.731043 8.345498 14.838991
2025-04-06 2.193053 2.631589 3.228696 4.161616 5.734562 8.731683 17.292852
2025-04-13 2.054515 2.479613 3.065515 3.997013 5.611287 8.838087 19.182511
2025-04-20 1.991210 2.426850 3.039931 4.044718 5.874151 9.879148 26.419877
2025-04-27 1.938038 2.384206 3.024853 4.106830 6.179365 11.197199 40.843008
2025-05-04 1.907095 2.370680 3.051588 4.242217 6.667141 13.375248 95.696339
2025-05-11 1.844757 2.313998 3.017058 4.285544 7.023146 15.735218 1353.964319
2025-05-18 1.777050 2.245526 2.959012 4.280697 7.281971 18.237515 NaN
2025-05-25 1.691296 2.145349 2.842812 4.153054 7.212502 19.335335 NaN
2025-06-01 1.629157 2.077743 2.775255 4.112374 7.366445 22.086738 NaN
2025-06-08 1.554471 1.987235 2.663792 3.972571 7.218799 22.903990 NaN
2025-06-15 1.513302 1.946286 2.632516 3.991303 7.534723 28.290536 NaN
2025-06-22 1.467027 1.894957 2.579926 3.959659 7.697582 33.641212 NaN
2025-06-29 1.416654 1.834848 2.508410 3.880012 7.689294 37.633148 NaN
2025-07-06 1.361038 1.764259 2.414931 3.744325 7.464808 37.939674 NaN
2025-07-13 1.337446 1.743384 2.406955 3.794194 7.893393 55.067659 NaN
2025-07-20 1.316858 1.726206 2.404159 3.855426 8.402565 96.472887 NaN